Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002458 0.002613 0.002779 0.002970 0.003186 0.003424 0.003708
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002262 0.002480 0.002727 0.003030 0.003400 0.003842 0.004426
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002091 0.002343 0.002641 0.003025 0.003522 0.004161 0.005086
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001941 0.002211 0.002537 0.002976 0.003570 0.004382 0.005660
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001872 0.002166 0.002533 0.003044 0.003774 0.004843 0.006703
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001808 0.002118 0.002516 0.003091 0.003948 0.005289 0.007875
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001718 0.002031 0.002439 0.003041 0.003969 0.005492 0.008683
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001625 0.001932 0.002338 0.002946 0.003905 0.005537 0.009182
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001571 0.001882 0.002299 0.002937 0.003975 0.005827 0.010371
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001471 0.001764 0.002158 0.002764 0.003754 0.005538 0.009992
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001437 0.001735 0.002142 0.002778 0.003850 0.005876 0.011478
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001419 0.001726 0.002153 0.002835 0.004026 0.006417 0.014018
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001376 0.001684 0.002115 0.002816 0.004070 0.006708 0.016139
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001354 0.001668 0.002116 0.002860 0.004241 0.007348 0.020851
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001319 0.001634 0.002086 0.002851 0.004308 0.007760 0.025582
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001278 0.001588 0.002037 0.002805 0.004294 0.007955 0.029667
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001265 0.001583 0.002050 0.002866 0.004511 0.008896 0.046655
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001248 0.001571 0.002052 0.002907 0.004693 0.009837 0.083161
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001214 0.001532 0.002008 0.002862 0.004675 0.010091 0.118203
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001173 0.001482 0.001944 0.002777 0.004552 0.009923 0.132626
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001151 0.001458 0.001923 0.002769 0.004611 0.010484 0.320488
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001099 0.001389 0.001825 0.002612 0.004301 0.009484 0.151018
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001084 0.001375 0.001817 0.002625 0.004401 0.010191 0.598144